Economy
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AP 130-1-05
2023 Vegetables and Pulses Outlook
1. Although the total U.S. fresh vegetable and harvested area decreased by 7% in 2021 compared to 2020, the harvested area is expected to improve in 2023—but not enough to offset 2021. 2. Total vegetables and pulses imports were $18.6 billion in 2021, an increase of 10.2% compared to 2020. This import trend is expected in 2023 despite the supply chain disruption. 3. Production input prices will continue to fluctuate depending on the situation in the Ukraine and Russia war. It’s likely that prices will continue to escalate if the U.S. government does not come up with a contingency plan.
Esendugue Fonsah and Amanda Smith
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AP 130-1-06
2023 Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Outlook
1. The Russia-Ukraine war and Mexico’s plan to ban genetically modified corn from the United States will increase uncertainty regarding corn prices. 2. The United States and the world will continue to have a tight wheat supply in 2023, supporting higher than average wheat prices. 3. The low ending stocks of U.S. soybeans indicate the need for more soybeans. Ending stocks might improve in 2023, leading to softer soybean prices.
Amanda Smith and Yangxuan Liu
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AP 130-1
2023 Georgia Ag Forecast
The entire publication is viewable using the “View PDF” button above. Each year, UGA’s agricultural economists develop a comprehensive overview to help various sectors of the agriculture industry navigate the year ahead. As Georgia’s land-grant university, the University of Georgia conducts cutting-edge research on critical and emerging issues that are important to the agriculture industry. From this research, UGA provides the best information and education available to producers and constituents to equip them with knowledge and decision-making tools for their businesses. The overall U.S. outlook projections include: 1. In 2023, the postpandemic expansion will end, and a mild recession will begin. 2. The 2023 recession will be mild and short. 3. Tight monetary policy because of high inflation is the main reason to expect a recession. Energy price shocks are a second reason to expect a recession. 4. Georgia’s economy will do better than the U.S. economy as a whole. 5. Economic development projects will provide a solid push to Georgia’s economy.
Esendugue Fonsah, Jennifer Berry, Amanda Smith, Benjamin Campbell, Yangxuan Liu, John Salazar, and Yanshu Li
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AP 130-1-01
Overall Georgia and U.S. Economic Outlook
Each year, UGA’s agricultural economists develop a comprehensive overview to help various sectors of the agriculture industry navigate the year ahead. As Georgia’s land-grant university, the University of Georgia conducts cutting-edge research on critical and emerging issues that are important to the agriculture industry. From this research, UGA provides the best information and education available to producers and constituents to equip them with knowledge and decision-making tools for their businesses. The overall U.S. outlook projections include: 1. In 2023, the postpandemic expansion will end, and a mild recession will begin. 2. The 2023 recession will be mild and short. 3. Tight monetary policy because of high inflation is the main reason to expect a recession. Energy price shocks are a second reason to expect a recession. 4. Georgia’s economy will do better than the U.S. economy as a whole. 5. Economic development projects will provide a solid push to Georgia’s economy.
Amanda Smith
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AP 130-1-02
Peanut Situation and 2023 Outlook
1. Planted acres are expected to increase in
2023 in the United States and Georgia, a
reversal of the 2-year decline in planted
acres. 2. Georgia forward contract prices are
expected to be down with an estimated
season average price of $475 per ton
(ranging $450–$500 per ton).
3. Peanut disappearance of the 2022–2023
crop is projected to remain strong at 3
million tons; this is supported by forecasted
increases in food use and exports over
last year.Amanda Smith
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AP 129-1
2023 Ag Snapshots
Ag Snapshots is a brief focus on Georgia’s agricultural industry and are based on the Georgia Farm Gate Value Report from the previous year with helpful infographics and maps. Years prior to 2023 can be accessed on the Agribusiness and Economic Development publications site: https://caed.uga.edu/publications/georgia-agricultural-statistics.html
Sharon Kane
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In 2018, the Trump Administration proclaimed significant changes in tariff actions on a variety of U.S. imports, which led to retaliation by U.S. trading partners—including China and many U.S. allies. These actions led to a 2-year trade dispute between the United States and China. Global commercial ties were destabilized and the trade and investment transactions and flows were hampered by the resulting trade dispute. This paper documents the timeline of the U.S.–China trade dispute and the retaliation and responses from China to the Trump Administration’s tariffs. As cotton and its related products were caught in the middle of the trade dispute, this paper also provides discussions about the tariffs implemented by both countries on the cotton and textile sector.
Cesar Escalante and Yangxuan Liu
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The state of Georgia ranked ninth out of all states in 2013 for green industry (not including sod production, as this was not included in the analysis) economic contributions (including multiplier effects) to employment (64,066 jobs) and GDP ($3.79 billion) and tenth in total industry output ($6.72 billion). The largest individual sector in regard to output and employment both directly and indirectly was landscape services, representing nearly 57% of industry employment and 39% of economic output. The Georgia green industry represented 0.83% of Georgia gross domestic product (GDP), higher than that of the U.S. green industry as a whole at 0.72% U.S. GDP.
Sharon Kane and Benjamin Campbell
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Cultural capital refers to the resources that make up a community’s tangible and intangible creative assets. Tangible assets can include historical buildings, sites, and other structures, as well as local art, sculptures, and crafts. Intangible assets include community traditions, customs, values, practices, music, and literature, which contribute to a community’s identity and distinguish community members. These items of cultural capital can contribute to the overall cultural value existing within a community. This publication provides additional details and insights how communities, citizens, and educators can use cultural capital to engage in productive dialogue and programs.
Abigail Borron and Kevan Lamm
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